RISK PLAYGROUND · SAVED REAL-MODEL EVIDENCE
How likely is a costly mistake?
Switch safeguards. Adjust the traffic mix. Watch the probability range change.
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Select a scenario to inspect its evidence.
95% model-based range · proposed loss before gateUnavailable
Sandbox estimates assume accurate trusted records and a correctly implemented policy.
Dark line: the average estimate across possible missing labels. Light band: the 95% model-based uncertainty range.
Scenario distribution
Prior Posterior. Light blue: the 95% scenario interval spanning unresolved labels. Solid/dashed curves assign unknown losses below/above the threshold. Density height is not a probability; area is probability.