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DEPLOYMENT FRONTIER

Safety has to leave room for useful work.

Compare costly mistakes with legitimate tasks completed. A control that stops everything has zero automated exposure and completes nothing.

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Each point marks a known outcome fraction over the planned tasks; unknown outcomes widen the bounds. Each setup is a saved model/control combination. Horizontal bars bound useful work; vertical bars bound mistake probability. Blue: Haiku. Coral: Sonnet. The square at the origin is the block-everything reference. Click a point to inspect it.

Every setup and its uncertainty
Accept, review, or escalate?

First apply hard authorization and source checks. Then compare a statistically supported risk bound with the operator’s risk budget. Ask a critic or a person when evidence is insufficient. An agent’s stated confidence is not a calibrated probability.

JEV motivates confidence-based escalation, but this page uses saved outcomes and joint statistical bounds. It does not call JEV or claim a validated per-request confidence router. A small study can leave no configuration qualified for a strict risk budget.

Research and validation choices →

How the frontier is calculated